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Israel Adesanya Breakdown
Adesanya comes into this battle with a lot of benefits over the much smaller Gastelum, who’s giving up nearly 9 inches of reach. On the feet it is the technical buildup strategy of Adesanya that will give him a substantial edge. He’s got a much more diverse arsenal with powerful leg kicks a strong choice against Kelvin, that will have to stay explosive to have any hope closing the striking distance. Defensively Adesanya is solid, rolling with punches and never committing himself to be vulnerable to counter shots. He’s a slow starter but turns up the volume when he has a stronger feel for his opponent.
Gastelum has fast boxing mixtures and has used this to evaluate some impressive finishes. The quality of Kelvin’s resistance is questionable with lots of older fighters crumbling after becoming caught by his superior cardio or speed. Gastelum includes a wrestling foundation but hasn’t made that a focus of his UFC run. In this fight the size and takedown defense of Adesanya must mean this stays standing. Kelvin has limited paths to success beyond landing a flush KO shot and awarded the reach and protection of Adesanya this does seem unlikely.
Since moving around Middleweight Gastelum has managed to be remarkable regardless of his height and reach. Weidman revealed us that size may be a large factor where the elderly fighters of the branch were unable to press the advantage. Adesanya ought to be able to control this fight to stay standing, where he will be able to design on Gastelum out of range. Round one could be close but past that it will be one way traffic. A late end or comfy decision appear equally likely.Dustin Poirier Breakdown
These men clash in what ought to be an extremely competitive fight. Both men prefer their striking with Holloway’s volume style taking on Poirier’s technical fundamentals together with surprising power. The people seem to be over Holloway following his impressive Ortega triumph and the bookie has him lined a substantial favourite. While his boxing and cardio is unmatched at 145lb, it might be a different story here. Poirier hits very hard, with much more power than anything Max would have experienced lately. If there was a weakness Holloway’s game it is that he takes a lot of clean shots, and there is absolutely no reason a clear one from Poirier can’t finish the struggle.
This battle is very likely to start off in Poirier’s favour as he lands the more impacting shots and uses his reach advantage. Holloway will need to survive until the subsequent rounds in a bid to conquer Poirier with his pace and cardio. Dustin is no slouch in this area and is extremely hard to put away himself. We view this as an early stoppage for Poirier or close decision headed to the judges. The center rounds will be crucial in deciding the winner. In +180 the value is clear, back the more dangerous fighter that has firmly established himself on top of the toughest division in the sport.
Bet = Poirier in 2.80 (+180) chances. Risk 4 Units to acquire 7.2 Units.
Eryk Anders Breakdown
Rountree is a dangerous striker, both fast and powerful, although his one dimensional gameplan makes him quite beatable. Of most concern is his gas tank which is quickly depleted as he spams power shots early. Furthermore his grappling and wrestling is below average. Rountree is coming from a big KO loss to Johnny Walker.
Anders is very durable and has a basic but harmful striking design himself. The trick to victory is going to be his exceptional pressure as he could mix in takedowns to wear Rountree out, negating his power. Rountree is stuck in the bottom of the rankings compared to Anders who lately had aggressive match with the name challenger Santos. Look for him to endure a few early temptations to then implement his wrestling and then take over the struggle beyond round one.
Bet = Anders at 1.54 (-185) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 1.62 Units.
Alan Jouban Breakdown
Jouban comes into this fight with far more experience but also a 5??? attain disadvantage. Grant is 34 years of age and unlikely to make huge strides in his overall game. He does not appear very impressive with sloppy method but does have big power to land the kill shot. Jouban’s durability is a concern but overall he is the far superior fighter. Look for him to bring a wise game-plan to this one and use his superior arsenal to out strike Grant. Jouban has sneaky electricity himself but a decision is also likely. .
Bet = Jouban in 2.0 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.0 Units.
Max Griffin Breakdown
Imadaev is very unproven and at only 24 years old has been winning against inferior resistance in the regional landscape. He looks to be getting a lot of respect from the odds makers, possibly due to his Russian background. This is a large step up against Max Griffin who is a tough UFC veteran. He brings solid boxing and electricity and can blend in the strange takedown when demanded. Griffin’s question mark is surely his strength, as he gets rocked in most fights, but he has a fighters attitude for coming back from adversity. Imadaev could be the real deal in which case that is likely to be an action packed affair. Otherwise look for Griffin to ship the inexperienced rookie. At slight underdog odds we like a wager on the more established fighter.
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